Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, and the Carolinas Face Monday Severe Weather Threat With Widespread Thunderstorms and Marginal Storm Risk
WASHINGTON, D.C. — A newly issued categorical outlook is warning of widespread thunderstorm activity across a large portion of the central and eastern United States for Monday, June 22, 2026. The outlook, updated early Saturday morning, highlights a broad zone stretching from the Southern Plains through the Mid-South and into parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
Marginal Risk Zone Stretches From Texas to the Carolinas
According to the outlook, a Marginal Risk zone covers a wide swath of the country, running from near Denver, Colorado, southeast through Amarillo, Lubbock, Oklahoma City, Tulsa, Dallas, and Shreveport, before continuing east through Little Rock, Memphis, Nashville, and Charlotte. This marginal risk band represents the higher end of severe weather concern within the current outlook, though it remains the lowest category on the standard severe weather risk scale.
Thunderstorm Potential Extends Across a Much Larger Region
Beyond the marginal risk zone, a much broader “Thunder” category blankets a significant portion of the map, reaching cities including Chicago, Detroit, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, St. Louis, Kansas City, Louisville, Atlanta, Jacksonville, Washington D.C., Philadelphia, New York, and Boston. This designation indicates a chance of thunderstorms without necessarily signaling a heightened severe weather threat.
No Higher-Level Risk Categories Currently in Play
Notably, the outlook does not currently show any areas under Slight, Enhanced, Moderate, or High Risk classifications, the more serious tiers used to flag a greater likelihood of severe storms, damaging winds, large hail, or tornado activity. As it stands, the marginal designation suggests isolated severe weather is possible, but widespread or intense severe weather is not currently expected heading into Monday.
Residents across the affected states are encouraged to stay alert and monitor local forecasts as the outlook may be updated closer to Monday.
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